Recent Israeli airstrikes, including the May 16 targeting of a senior Hamas military commander, underscore ongoing operations amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire that has allowed limited violence and aid constraints. Israel has consolidated control over roughly two-thirds of Gaza through buffer zones and military infrastructure expansions documented in late-April maps, confining most residents to a shrinking coastal area. These steps, combined with persistent Hamas presence and reconstruction barriers, shape trader assessments of escalation risks. Scheduled diplomatic talks and U.S. policy signals could influence whether forces pursue larger ground maneuvers before key deadlines, while historical patterns of incremental advances versus full-scale offensives inform probability views.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$555,050 Vol.
2025/10/31
6月30日
16%
12月31日
47%
$555,050 Vol.
6月30日
$54,006 Vol.
16%
12月31日
$24,302 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Israeli airstrikes, including the May 16 targeting of a senior Hamas military commander, underscore ongoing operations amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire that has allowed limited violence and aid constraints. Israel has consolidated control over roughly two-thirds of Gaza through buffer zones and military infrastructure expansions documented in late-April maps, confining most residents to a shrinking coastal area. These steps, combined with persistent Hamas presence and reconstruction barriers, shape trader assessments of escalation risks. Scheduled diplomatic talks and U.S. policy signals could influence whether forces pursue larger ground maneuvers before key deadlines, while historical patterns of incremental advances versus full-scale offensives inform probability views.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
音量
$555,050終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Israeli airstrikes, including the May 16 targeting of a senior Hamas military commander, underscore ongoing operations amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire that has allowed limited violence and aid constraints. Israel has consolidated control over roughly two-thirds of Gaza through buffer zones and military infrastructure expansions documented in late-April maps, confining most residents to a shrinking coastal area. These steps, combined with persistent Hamas presence and reconstruction barriers, shape trader assessments of escalation risks. Scheduled diplomatic talks and U.S. policy signals could influence whether forces pursue larger ground maneuvers before key deadlines, while historical patterns of incremental advances versus full-scale offensives inform probability views.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$555,050終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli airstrikes, including the May 16 targeting of a senior Hamas military commander, underscore ongoing operations amid a fragile October 2025 ceasefire that has allowed limited violence and aid constraints. Israel has consolidated control over roughly two-thirds of Gaza through buffer zones and military infrastructure expansions documented in late-April maps, confining most residents to a shrinking coastal area. These steps, combined with persistent Hamas presence and reconstruction barriers, shape trader assessments of escalation risks. Scheduled diplomatic talks and U.S. policy signals could influence whether forces pursue larger ground maneuvers before key deadlines, while historical patterns of incremental advances versus full-scale offensives inform probability views.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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