Francesca Hong maintains near-certain trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner in Dane County because her Madison-area Assembly district and progressive platform align closely with the county’s heavily Democratic and left-leaning electorate. Recent polling and local organizing showed her building double-digit leads among Dane voters before the August 11 primary, while Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley drew support from other regions. Early vote tabulation from Madison precincts reinforced this pattern, with Hong outperforming statewide rivals in the progressive stronghold even as Crowley secured the overall nomination through broader establishment backing. The 99.5% implied probability reflects the absence of credible late developments that could alter county-level results before final certification, though any substantial remaining uncounted ballots or procedural disputes could still shift the narrow margins observed in initial reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$6,490 Vol.
$6,490 Vol.
2026/08/11
Francesca Hong
Yes
David Crowley
No
$6,490 Vol.
$6,490 Vol.
2026/08/11
Francesca Hong
$4,880 Vol.
Yes
David Crowley
$1,609 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong maintains near-certain trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner in Dane County because her Madison-area Assembly district and progressive platform align closely with the county’s heavily Democratic and left-leaning electorate. Recent polling and local organizing showed her building double-digit leads among Dane voters before the August 11 primary, while Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley drew support from other regions. Early vote tabulation from Madison precincts reinforced this pattern, with Hong outperforming statewide rivals in the progressive stronghold even as Crowley secured the overall nomination through broader establishment backing. The 99.5% implied probability reflects the absence of credible late developments that could alter county-level results before final certification, though any substantial remaining uncounted ballots or procedural disputes could still shift the narrow margins observed in initial reports.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$6,490終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong maintains near-certain trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner in Dane County because her Madison-area Assembly district and progressive platform align closely with the county’s heavily Democratic and left-leaning electorate. Recent polling and local organizing showed her building double-digit leads among Dane voters before the August 11 primary, while Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley drew support from other regions. Early vote tabulation from Madison precincts reinforced this pattern, with Hong outperforming statewide rivals in the progressive stronghold even as Crowley secured the overall nomination through broader establishment backing. The 99.5% implied probability reflects the absence of credible late developments that could alter county-level results before final certification, though any substantial remaining uncounted ballots or procedural disputes could still shift the narrow margins observed in initial reports.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
音量
$6,490終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Francesca Hong maintains near-certain trader consensus as the Democratic primary winner in Dane County because her Madison-area Assembly district and progressive platform align closely with the county’s heavily Democratic and left-leaning electorate. Recent polling and local organizing showed her building double-digit leads among Dane voters before the August 11 primary, while Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley drew support from other regions. Early vote tabulation from Madison precincts reinforced this pattern, with Hong outperforming statewide rivals in the progressive stronghold even as Crowley secured the overall nomination through broader establishment backing. The 99.5% implied probability reflects the absence of credible late developments that could alter county-level results before final certification, though any substantial remaining uncounted ballots or procedural disputes could still shift the narrow margins observed in initial reports.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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