Wyoming's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Eric Barlow, a state senator and former House speaker who secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 45% of the vote over state superintendent Megan Degenfelder. The state's consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, including Donald Trump's large 2024 margin, underpins trader pricing of the Republican outcome near 97%. Democrats have not won any statewide office since 2006, and nominee Kenneth Casner faces structural disadvantages in turnout and registration. Barlow's legislative record and fundraising provide additional consolidation among Republican voters ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant late scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unforeseen turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome given the state's partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,915 Vol.
$10,915 Vol.

共和党
97%

民主党
3%
$10,915 Vol.
$10,915 Vol.

共和党
97%

民主党
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Eric Barlow, a state senator and former House speaker who secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 45% of the vote over state superintendent Megan Degenfelder. The state's consistent Republican performance in statewide contests, including Donald Trump's large 2024 margin, underpins trader pricing of the Republican outcome near 97%. Democrats have not won any statewide office since 2006, and nominee Kenneth Casner faces structural disadvantages in turnout and registration. Barlow's legislative record and fundraising provide additional consolidation among Republican voters ahead of the November 3 general election. A significant late scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unforeseen turnout shift would be required to alter the outcome given the state's partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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