Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district following his 2024 victory over Democrat Mary Peltola. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 13-point presidential margin in 2024. Begich holds broad Republican endorsements, including from Trump, while the Democratic field remains fragmented without Peltola, who is instead pursuing the U.S. Senate seat. The August 18 top-four primary and November general election use ranked-choice voting, but no recent public polls show the Republican position eroding. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5 percent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트AK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,958 거래량
81%
Democratic Party
$5,947 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district following his 2024 victory over Democrat Mary Peltola. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 13-point presidential margin in 2024. Begich holds broad Republican endorsements, including from Trump, while the Democratic field remains fragmented without Peltola, who is instead pursuing the U.S. Senate seat. The August 18 top-four primary and November general election use ranked-choice voting, but no recent public polls show the Republican position eroding. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
거래량
$9,905종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district following his 2024 victory over Democrat Mary Peltola. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 13-point presidential margin in 2024. Begich holds broad Republican endorsements, including from Trump, while the Democratic field remains fragmented without Peltola, who is instead pursuing the U.S. Senate seat. The August 18 top-four primary and November general election use ranked-choice voting, but no recent public polls show the Republican position eroding. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5 percent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,905종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III seeks re-election in Alaska’s at-large House district following his 2024 victory over Democrat Mary Peltola. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the race as Likely Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 13-point presidential margin in 2024. Begich holds broad Republican endorsements, including from Trump, while the Democratic field remains fragmented without Peltola, who is instead pursuing the U.S. Senate seat. The August 18 top-four primary and November general election use ranked-choice voting, but no recent public polls show the Republican position eroding. These structural and candidate factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80.5 percent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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