Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
22%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,374 거래량
76%
Democratic Party
$3,721 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
거래량
$6,094종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,094종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich leads recent Alaska Survey Research polling at 46% in the crowded top-four primary field for Alaska's at-large congressional district, well ahead of Democratic challenger Matt Schultz (29%) and others like independent Bill Hill (11%), driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 75.5%. Begich's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million in Q4 2025—and prior 2024 victory over Mary Peltola, now running for Senate, reinforce his incumbency edge in the Republican-leaning state. National Democrats' House Majority PAC investments signal targeting, but a fragmented challenger field weakens their path ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary and November ranked-choice general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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