Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and repeated strong performance in recent cycles. She secured the seat in the 2025 special election with a decisive margin over the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez, now set to face her again in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory options for Republicans amid the district’s urban, border-region demographics. Primary contests scheduled for July 21 could test internal Democratic dynamics, yet historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges favor the incumbent. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift, would realistically alter the current trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,090 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$4,355 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and repeated strong performance in recent cycles. She secured the seat in the 2025 special election with a decisive margin over the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez, now set to face her again in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory options for Republicans amid the district’s urban, border-region demographics. Primary contests scheduled for July 21 could test internal Democratic dynamics, yet historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges favor the incumbent. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift, would realistically alter the current trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and repeated strong performance in recent cycles. She secured the seat in the 2025 special election with a decisive margin over the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez, now set to face her again in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory options for Republicans amid the district’s urban, border-region demographics. Primary contests scheduled for July 21 could test internal Democratic dynamics, yet historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges favor the incumbent. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift, would realistically alter the current trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,445종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 partisan voter index and repeated strong performance in recent cycles. She secured the seat in the 2025 special election with a decisive margin over the same Republican opponent, Daniel Butierez, now set to face her again in the November 2026 general election. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, underscoring limited path-to-victory options for Republicans amid the district’s urban, border-region demographics. Primary contests scheduled for July 21 could test internal Democratic dynamics, yet historical turnout patterns and fundraising edges favor the incumbent. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or sharp national partisan shift, would realistically alter the current trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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