In California's 46th congressional district, the Democratic candidate maintains a commanding position driven by the area's consistent partisan leanings, favorable voter registration patterns, and historical results in recent House elections. The district in Orange County has supported Democratic nominees by double-digit margins since 2018, with the incumbent benefiting from strong name recognition and established support among key voting blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift could occur through a major national Republican surge, an unusually competitive primary producing a high-profile challenger, or significant changes in turnout among suburban or independent voters by Election Day 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,084 거래량
$11,084 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$11,084 거래량
$11,084 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,449 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$8,635 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 46th congressional district, the Democratic candidate maintains a commanding position driven by the area's consistent partisan leanings, favorable voter registration patterns, and historical results in recent House elections. The district in Orange County has supported Democratic nominees by double-digit margins since 2018, with the incumbent benefiting from strong name recognition and established support among key voting blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift could occur through a major national Republican surge, an unusually competitive primary producing a high-profile challenger, or significant changes in turnout among suburban or independent voters by Election Day 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$11,084종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 46th congressional district, the Democratic candidate maintains a commanding position driven by the area's consistent partisan leanings, favorable voter registration patterns, and historical results in recent House elections. The district in Orange County has supported Democratic nominees by double-digit margins since 2018, with the incumbent benefiting from strong name recognition and established support among key voting blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift could occur through a major national Republican surge, an unusually competitive primary producing a high-profile challenger, or significant changes in turnout among suburban or independent voters by Election Day 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,084종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's 46th congressional district, the Democratic candidate maintains a commanding position driven by the area's consistent partisan leanings, favorable voter registration patterns, and historical results in recent House elections. The district in Orange County has supported Democratic nominees by double-digit margins since 2018, with the incumbent benefiting from strong name recognition and established support among key voting blocs. Trader consensus at these levels reflects these structural factors rather than any single recent event. A realistic shift could occur through a major national Republican surge, an unusually competitive primary producing a high-profile challenger, or significant changes in turnout among suburban or independent voters by Election Day 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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