India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 거래량
$56,545 거래량
2026.05.13
37°C or below
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 거래량
$56,545 거래량
2026.05.13
37°C or below
$9,348 거래량
Yes
38°C
$3,233 거래량
No
39°C
$3,660 거래량
No
40°C
$4,031 거래량
No
41°C
$8,655 거래량
No
42°C
$4,702 거래량
No
43°C
$4,207 거래량
No
44°C
$4,184 거래량
No
45°C
$4,384 거래량
No
46°C
$4,700 거래량
No
47°C or higher
$5,443 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
거래량
$56,545종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$56,545종료일
2026.05.13마켓 개설일
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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