Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
신규
$57,101 거래량
신규
$57,101 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
47%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
신규
$57,101 거래량
신규
$57,101 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$1,110 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,413 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,723 거래량
<1%
13°C
$4,845 거래량
<1%
14°C
$7,692 거래량
4%
15°C
$6,708 거래량
35%
16°C
$8,162 거래량
47%
17°C
$6,757 거래량
15%
18°C
$5,376 거래량
1%
19°C
$8,567 거래량
1%
20°C or higher
$3,768 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$57,101종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$57,101종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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