Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 선전에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
신규
$20,577 거래량
신규
$20,577 거래량
2026.05.17
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
신규
$20,577 거래량
신규
$20,577 거래량
2026.05.17
21°C or below
$1,761 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,783 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,725 거래량
<1%
24°C
$4,199 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,210 거래량
7%
26°C
$1,458 거래량
32%
27°C
$1,076 거래량
32%
28°C
$936 거래량
24%
29°C
$1,104 거래량
13%
30°C
$741 거래량
3%
31°C or higher
$3,585 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$20,577종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$20,577종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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