Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 거래량
$141,359 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
98%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 97.9%
22°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$141,359 거래량
$141,359 거래량
2026.05.16
18°C
$18,715 거래량
<1%
19°C
$12,059 거래량
<1%
20°C
$34,501 거래량
<1%
21°C
$10,142 거래량
98%
22°C
$7,800 거래량
1%
23°C
$8,000 거래량
<1%
24°C
$7,242 거래량
<1%
25°C
$9,330 거래량
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,413 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$141,359종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$141,359종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime maximum near 21 °C under partly cloudy skies, anchoring the 94 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Official model consensus shows modest daytime heating limited by persistent cloud cover and a light southwesterly flow, consistent with late-spring climatology at Pearson Airport where the May average high sits around 19–20 °C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures tracking the forecast trajectory without significant deviation. A realistic challenge to the dominant outcome would require either stronger solar heating from unexpected clearing or a cooler advection from an unforecasted frontal passage, both of which remain low-probability shifts given the current model agreement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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