Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition. The district’s conservative voting patterns, reflected in prior presidential results and the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district without recent competitive general-election history. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트ID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$38,880 거래량
$38,880 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
3%
$38,880 거래량
$38,880 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$23,555 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$15,325 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition. The district’s conservative voting patterns, reflected in prior presidential results and the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district without recent competitive general-election history. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$38,880종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition. The district’s conservative voting patterns, reflected in prior presidential results and the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district without recent competitive general-election history. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$38,880종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party’s nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition. The district’s conservative voting patterns, reflected in prior presidential results and the incumbent’s 2024 general-election margin above 70 percent, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election. Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson and minor-party candidates face structural barriers in a district without recent competitive general-election history. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals or significant national political shifts could still influence turnout, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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