Ongoing military tensions stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent retaliatory actions continue to shape assessments of potential Israeli airspace closures. Partial reopening of Ben Gurion Airport occurred in March with capacity limits and security protocols still in place, while European carriers including Lufthansa have announced resumption of flights in June amid a fragile ceasefire. Recent exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah along the northern border, including strikes on infrastructure in Lebanon during April, highlight persistent risks of escalation that could prompt renewed full restrictions. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, missile threats, and official security assessments for any developments that might trigger a major shutdown before the end of May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$891,438 거래량
2026.06.30
May 31
31%
6월 30일
48%
$891,438 거래량
May 31
$386,562 거래량
31%
6월 30일
$9,629 거래량
48%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military tensions stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent retaliatory actions continue to shape assessments of potential Israeli airspace closures. Partial reopening of Ben Gurion Airport occurred in March with capacity limits and security protocols still in place, while European carriers including Lufthansa have announced resumption of flights in June amid a fragile ceasefire. Recent exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah along the northern border, including strikes on infrastructure in Lebanon during April, highlight persistent risks of escalation that could prompt renewed full restrictions. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, missile threats, and official security assessments for any developments that might trigger a major shutdown before the end of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
거래량
$891,438종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing military tensions stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent retaliatory actions continue to shape assessments of potential Israeli airspace closures. Partial reopening of Ben Gurion Airport occurred in March with capacity limits and security protocols still in place, while European carriers including Lufthansa have announced resumption of flights in June amid a fragile ceasefire. Recent exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah along the northern border, including strikes on infrastructure in Lebanon during April, highlight persistent risks of escalation that could prompt renewed full restrictions. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, missile threats, and official security assessments for any developments that might trigger a major shutdown before the end of May.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$891,438종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
May 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military tensions stemming from the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent retaliatory actions continue to shape assessments of potential Israeli airspace closures. Partial reopening of Ben Gurion Airport occurred in March with capacity limits and security protocols still in place, while European carriers including Lufthansa have announced resumption of flights in June amid a fragile ceasefire. Recent exchanges between Israel and Hezbollah along the northern border, including strikes on infrastructure in Lebanon during April, highlight persistent risks of escalation that could prompt renewed full restrictions. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, missile threats, and official security assessments for any developments that might trigger a major shutdown before the end of May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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