Kentucky's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings with a strong partisan lean, favors long-serving incumbent Hal Rogers, who cast an early vote ahead of the May 19 closed primary and faces only nominal GOP challengers like Benjamin Hurley and Brandon Monhollen. Democrats held a debate yesterday among four contenders—Cherlynn Stevenson, Zach Dembo, Erin Petrey, and David Kloiber—though nominee Ned Pillersdorf advanced without ballot opposition, underscoring weak historical performance in this Eastern Kentucky stronghold. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects Rogers' entrenched fundraising prowess and pork-barrel delivery for the district; realistic challenges include a primary upset, health issues for the 88-year-old Rogers, or unprecedented Democratic turnout amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,161 거래량
$12,161 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
6%
$12,161 거래량
$12,161 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,880 거래량
94%
민주당
$3,281 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings with a strong partisan lean, favors long-serving incumbent Hal Rogers, who cast an early vote ahead of the May 19 closed primary and faces only nominal GOP challengers like Benjamin Hurley and Brandon Monhollen. Democrats held a debate yesterday among four contenders—Cherlynn Stevenson, Zach Dembo, Erin Petrey, and David Kloiber—though nominee Ned Pillersdorf advanced without ballot opposition, underscoring weak historical performance in this Eastern Kentucky stronghold. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects Rogers' entrenched fundraising prowess and pork-barrel delivery for the district; realistic challenges include a primary upset, health issues for the 88-year-old Rogers, or unprecedented Democratic turnout amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,161종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings with a strong partisan lean, favors long-serving incumbent Hal Rogers, who cast an early vote ahead of the May 19 closed primary and faces only nominal GOP challengers like Benjamin Hurley and Brandon Monhollen. Democrats held a debate yesterday among four contenders—Cherlynn Stevenson, Zach Dembo, Erin Petrey, and David Kloiber—though nominee Ned Pillersdorf advanced without ballot opposition, underscoring weak historical performance in this Eastern Kentucky stronghold. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects Rogers' entrenched fundraising prowess and pork-barrel delivery for the district; realistic challenges include a primary upset, health issues for the 88-year-old Rogers, or unprecedented Democratic turnout amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,161종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 5th Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings with a strong partisan lean, favors long-serving incumbent Hal Rogers, who cast an early vote ahead of the May 19 closed primary and faces only nominal GOP challengers like Benjamin Hurley and Brandon Monhollen. Democrats held a debate yesterday among four contenders—Cherlynn Stevenson, Zach Dembo, Erin Petrey, and David Kloiber—though nominee Ned Pillersdorf advanced without ballot opposition, underscoring weak historical performance in this Eastern Kentucky stronghold. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects Rogers' entrenched fundraising prowess and pork-barrel delivery for the district; realistic challenges include a primary upset, health issues for the 88-year-old Rogers, or unprecedented Democratic turnout amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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