Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore County suburbs, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s long-term voting patterns and modest Republican primary field. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic general-election winner aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or unusual turnout dynamics in this safely partisan district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$12,058 거래량
$12,058 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$12,058 거래량
$12,058 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$9,839 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$2,219 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore County suburbs, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s long-term voting patterns and modest Republican primary field. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic general-election winner aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or unusual turnout dynamics in this safely partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$12,058종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore County suburbs, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s long-term voting patterns and modest Republican primary field. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic general-election winner aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or unusual turnout dynamics in this safely partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,058종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore County suburbs, reflected in its D+10 partisan voting index and consistent election results. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the seat in 2024 with 58 percent of the vote and faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s long-term voting patterns and modest Republican primary field. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for a Democratic general-election winner aligns with these structural factors. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national Republican surge, a damaging scandal for the Democratic nominee, or unusual turnout dynamics in this safely partisan district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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