Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasting outlets, reflecting consistent voter patterns from recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who secured 58 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 23 vote before the November general election. The absence of a competitive Republican nominee and the district’s suburban and urban composition have produced trader consensus that Democratic control is highly likely. While an unexpected primary upset or late national shift could alter dynamics, the current structural lean and incumbency advantage leave little room for a Republican path to victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,666 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$2,181 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasting outlets, reflecting consistent voter patterns from recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who secured 58 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 23 vote before the November general election. The absence of a competitive Republican nominee and the district’s suburban and urban composition have produced trader consensus that Democratic control is highly likely. While an unexpected primary upset or late national shift could alter dynamics, the current structural lean and incumbency advantage leave little room for a Republican path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,847종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasting outlets, reflecting consistent voter patterns from recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who secured 58 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 23 vote before the November general election. The absence of a competitive Republican nominee and the district’s suburban and urban composition have produced trader consensus that Democratic control is highly likely. While an unexpected primary upset or late national shift could alter dynamics, the current structural lean and incumbency advantage leave little room for a Republican path to victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,847종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasting outlets, reflecting consistent voter patterns from recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who secured 58 percent in 2024, faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the June 23 vote before the November general election. The absence of a competitive Republican nominee and the district’s suburban and urban composition have produced trader consensus that Democratic control is highly likely. While an unexpected primary upset or late national shift could alter dynamics, the current structural lean and incumbency advantage leave little room for a Republican path to victory.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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