The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has shaped trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the suburban district as Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and recent electoral history. On the Democratic side, former state Sen. Matt Little secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 convention and leads a contested August 11 primary against state Rep. Kaela Berg and state Sen. Matt Klein. Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt is the presumptive nominee after securing his party’s backing. Recent polling in hypothetical general-election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead, supporting the current market consensus that favors the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트MN-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, has shaped trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the suburban district as Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and recent electoral history. On the Democratic side, former state Sen. Matt Little secured the DFL endorsement at the May 2026 convention and leads a contested August 11 primary against state Rep. Kaela Berg and state Sen. Matt Klein. Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt is the presumptive nominee after securing his party’s backing. Recent polling in hypothetical general-election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead, supporting the current market consensus that favors the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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