New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트NY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$32,624 거래량
$32,624 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
6%
$32,624 거래량
$32,624 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$19,082 거래량
96%
Republican Party
$13,542 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$32,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,624종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 9th congressional district, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Midwood, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and delivered an 81 percent victory for incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke in 2024. With the June 23 Democratic primary days away and Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah unopposed, traders price the seat as safely Democratic. The district’s consistent partisan lean, Clarke’s long incumbency, and limited Republican infrastructure explain the current 94.5 percent implied probability. A late primary upset producing a weakened nominee, an unforeseen national Republican surge, or a major scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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