As of mid-May, no tropical disturbances are organizing in the Atlantic basin per National Hurricane Center monitoring, with sea surface temperatures in the main development region still below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane genesis. Persistent upper-level wind shear from the subtropical jet stream continues to disrupt any potential systems, consistent with climatological records showing the first Atlantic hurricane typically forming after June 1. NOAA forecast models project little change through the end of the month, reinforcing trader consensus that formation by May 31 is highly improbable. A rapid shift would require an atypical early-season warm anomaly and sharply reduced shear, neither of which current conditions or model runs support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$49,291 거래량
$49,291 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$49,291 거래량
$49,291 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May, no tropical disturbances are organizing in the Atlantic basin per National Hurricane Center monitoring, with sea surface temperatures in the main development region still below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane genesis. Persistent upper-level wind shear from the subtropical jet stream continues to disrupt any potential systems, consistent with climatological records showing the first Atlantic hurricane typically forming after June 1. NOAA forecast models project little change through the end of the month, reinforcing trader consensus that formation by May 31 is highly improbable. A rapid shift would require an atypical early-season warm anomaly and sharply reduced shear, neither of which current conditions or model runs support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
거래량
$49,291종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May, no tropical disturbances are organizing in the Atlantic basin per National Hurricane Center monitoring, with sea surface temperatures in the main development region still below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane genesis. Persistent upper-level wind shear from the subtropical jet stream continues to disrupt any potential systems, consistent with climatological records showing the first Atlantic hurricane typically forming after June 1. NOAA forecast models project little change through the end of the month, reinforcing trader consensus that formation by May 31 is highly improbable. A rapid shift would require an atypical early-season warm anomaly and sharply reduced shear, neither of which current conditions or model runs support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
거래량
$49,291종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May, no tropical disturbances are organizing in the Atlantic basin per National Hurricane Center monitoring, with sea surface temperatures in the main development region still below the 26.5°C threshold required for hurricane genesis. Persistent upper-level wind shear from the subtropical jet stream continues to disrupt any potential systems, consistent with climatological records showing the first Atlantic hurricane typically forming after June 1. NOAA forecast models project little change through the end of the month, reinforcing trader consensus that formation by May 31 is highly improbable. A rapid shift would require an atypical early-season warm anomaly and sharply reduced shear, neither of which current conditions or model runs support.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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