Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 Wol.
$63,201 Wol.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 Wol.
$63,201 Wol.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
$9,296 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$7,260 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$2,682 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$3,107 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$2,088 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$3,704 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$2,475 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$2,543 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$7,599 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$13,587 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$8,861 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Wolumen
$63,201Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$63,201Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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