Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Wol.
$133,652 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$133,652 Wol.
$133,652 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$8,798 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$14,358 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$28,479 Wol.
100%
20°C
$16,906 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$6,289 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$8,683 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,937 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$133,652Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$133,652Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a Beijing high temperature of 19°C today under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for this outcome. Historical May averages in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius provide climatological context, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations align tightly with this specific threshold rather than warmer or cooler alternatives. Traders’ strong positioning reflects confidence in these verified meteorological data, though minor shifts could arise from localized urban heat effects or final official station measurements at the close of the observation period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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