Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that supports readings several degrees above the 71°F climatological normal. This setup, backed by consistent short-range model consensus and a slight severe-weather risk noted by the Storm Prediction Center, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Any downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or major model shift, though the short forecast horizon and stable steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will further refine the expected maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 18?
78°F or higher 70%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 6.3%
72-73°F 1.3%
NOWE
$48,190 Wol.
NOWE
$48,190 Wol.
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
20%
78°F or higher
70%
78°F or higher 70%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 6.3%
72-73°F 1.3%
NOWE
$48,190 Wol.
NOWE
$48,190 Wol.
May 18, 2026
59°F or below
$26,347 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$7,567 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,148 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,850 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,117 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$813 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,130 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,868 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,144 Wol.
6%
76-77°F
$2,344 Wol.
20%
78°F or higher
$2,862 Wol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that supports readings several degrees above the 71°F climatological normal. This setup, backed by consistent short-range model consensus and a slight severe-weather risk noted by the Storm Prediction Center, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Any downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or major model shift, though the short forecast horizon and stable steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will further refine the expected maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,190Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that supports readings several degrees above the 71°F climatological normal. This setup, backed by consistent short-range model consensus and a slight severe-weather risk noted by the Storm Prediction Center, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Any downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or major model shift, though the short forecast horizon and stable steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will further refine the expected maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$48,190Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDLatest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high near 79°F in Chicago on May 18, driven by southerly flow ahead of an approaching warm front that supports readings several degrees above the 71°F climatological normal. This setup, backed by consistent short-range model consensus and a slight severe-weather risk noted by the Storm Prediction Center, underpins the 69% market-implied probability for 78°F or higher. Any downward revision would require an unforecast cold-air intrusion or major model shift, though the short forecast horizon and stable steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely. Updated guidance over the next 24 hours will further refine the expected maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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