Recent National Weather Service forecasts place Dallas’s high near 84°F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity, yet the market assigns 66.5% implied probability to 86–87°F and 30.5% to 88–89°F. This positioning reflects afternoon heating potential and minor spreads between GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance, which can add 2–4°F above official point forecasts in urban heat-island conditions. Historical May climatology for the Dallas–Fort Worth area shows average highs of 84–86°F, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus and real-time observational updates from stations such as KDFW.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 68%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 4%
92°F or higher <1%
$54,165 Wol.
$54,165 Wol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
68%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 68%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 4%
92°F or higher <1%
$54,165 Wol.
$54,165 Wol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$13,405 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,233 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,904 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,123 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,359 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,464 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,547 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,457 Wol.
68%
88-89°F
$4,050 Wol.
26%
90-91°F
$3,538 Wol.
4%
92°F or higher
$5,742 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts place Dallas’s high near 84°F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity, yet the market assigns 66.5% implied probability to 86–87°F and 30.5% to 88–89°F. This positioning reflects afternoon heating potential and minor spreads between GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance, which can add 2–4°F above official point forecasts in urban heat-island conditions. Historical May climatology for the Dallas–Fort Worth area shows average highs of 84–86°F, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus and real-time observational updates from stations such as KDFW.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$54,165Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts place Dallas’s high near 84°F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity, yet the market assigns 66.5% implied probability to 86–87°F and 30.5% to 88–89°F. This positioning reflects afternoon heating potential and minor spreads between GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance, which can add 2–4°F above official point forecasts in urban heat-island conditions. Historical May climatology for the Dallas–Fort Worth area shows average highs of 84–86°F, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus and real-time observational updates from stations such as KDFW.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$54,165Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts place Dallas’s high near 84°F today under partly cloudy skies, moderate southerly flow, and typical May humidity, yet the market assigns 66.5% implied probability to 86–87°F and 30.5% to 88–89°F. This positioning reflects afternoon heating potential and minor spreads between GFS and ECMWF ensemble guidance, which can add 2–4°F above official point forecasts in urban heat-island conditions. Historical May climatology for the Dallas–Fort Worth area shows average highs of 84–86°F, providing a baseline that traders weigh against current model consensus and real-time observational updates from stations such as KDFW.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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