National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 Wol.
$63,161 Wol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 Wol.
$63,161 Wol.
May 16, 2026
65°F or below
$15,329 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$4,226 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$2,668 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$2,861 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$4,261 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$5,104 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$7,121 Wol.
Yes
78-79°F
$4,166 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$5,239 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$5,152 Wol.
No
84°F or higher
$7,032 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$63,161Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$63,161Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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