Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 Wol.
$23,772 Wol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 Wol.
$23,772 Wol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$470 Wol.
No
19°C
$424 Wol.
No
20°C
$428 Wol.
No
21°C
$977 Wol.
No
22°C
$723 Wol.
No
23°C
$980 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,690 Wol.
No
25°C
$3,100 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,634 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,472 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,874 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,772Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$23,772Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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