Trader consensus has coalesced around a maximum temperature of 27°C in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with recent model runs from global forecasting systems showing strong agreement on light winds and clear skies that prevented significant cooling. This positioning draws on historical baselines where similar synoptic patterns reliably produce readings in the upper 20s. Only unexpected revisions to official station data or localized microclimate anomalies could realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the precision of automated meteorological sensors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Wol.
$292,518 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Wol.
$292,518 Wol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Wol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,925 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has coalesced around a maximum temperature of 27°C in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with recent model runs from global forecasting systems showing strong agreement on light winds and clear skies that prevented significant cooling. This positioning draws on historical baselines where similar synoptic patterns reliably produce readings in the upper 20s. Only unexpected revisions to official station data or localized microclimate anomalies could realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the precision of automated meteorological sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$292,518Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has coalesced around a maximum temperature of 27°C in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with recent model runs from global forecasting systems showing strong agreement on light winds and clear skies that prevented significant cooling. This positioning draws on historical baselines where similar synoptic patterns reliably produce readings in the upper 20s. Only unexpected revisions to official station data or localized microclimate anomalies could realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the precision of automated meteorological sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$292,518Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has coalesced around a maximum temperature of 27°C in Hong Kong on May 15, reflecting verified observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this peak under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology for the region typically features daytime highs of 26–28°C driven by seasonal solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, with recent model runs from global forecasting systems showing strong agreement on light winds and clear skies that prevented significant cooling. This positioning draws on historical baselines where similar synoptic patterns reliably produce readings in the upper 20s. Only unexpected revisions to official station data or localized microclimate anomalies could realistically shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given the precision of automated meteorological sensors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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