The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Wol.
$303,885 Wol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,885 Wol.
$303,885 Wol.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Wol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Wolumen
$303,885Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$303,885Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of exactly 25°C on May 16, recorded at its principal urban stations under standardized Stevenson screen conditions, has driven near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This reading aligns with a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promoted subsidence, widespread cloud cover from a moist easterly flow, and limited daytime solar heating during the pre-monsoon transition period. Climatological baselines for mid-May show typical highs of 28–29°C, so the cooler anomaly reflects measurable synoptic suppression rather than model uncertainty. While official data leave little room for revision, an undetected instrumentation anomaly or post-hoc quality-control adjustment at the Observatory could theoretically reopen the market, though historical precedent for such changes on daily maxima remains exceedingly rare.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania