Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 Wol.
$36,831 Wol.
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
Yes
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 Wol.
$36,831 Wol.
May 16, 2026
69°F or below
$2,386 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$4,319 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$3,797 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$3,568 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$3,352 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$1,024 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$1,380 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$2,555 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$4,644 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$4,135 Wol.
No
88°F or higher
$5,670 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,831Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$36,831Data zakończenia
May 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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