Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 Wol.
$38,783 Wol.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,783 Wol.
$38,783 Wol.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
$2,268 Wol.
No
31°C
$1,103 Wol.
No
32°C
$5,164 Wol.
No
33°C
$2,480 Wol.
No
34°C
$2,760 Wol.
No
35°C
$3,807 Wol.
No
36°C
$4,143 Wol.
No
37°C
$2,332 Wol.
No
38°C
$2,318 Wol.
No
39°C
$5,159 Wol.
Yes
40°C or higher
$7,248 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,783Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$38,783Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to a highest temperature of 39°C in Jeddah on May 14, driven by the latest observational data from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN METARs showing morning temperatures at 31°C under clear skies) and converging forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and UK Met Office projecting a peak of 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure subsidence, hazy conditions, and light northwesterly winds capping intensification. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 37°C, supported by real-time solar heating trends and low humidity around 30–40%. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation allowing stronger insolation or minor wind shifts boosting advection, though marine influences and model uncertainty ranges make 40°C+ improbable; final airport readings expected by evening local time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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