Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.8%
NOWE
$42,301 Wol.
NOWE
$42,301 Wol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
21%
15°C
43%
16°C
26%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.8%
NOWE
$42,301 Wol.
NOWE
$42,301 Wol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,588 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$3,120 Wol.
2%
13°C
$4,748 Wol.
6%
14°C
$3,564 Wol.
21%
15°C
$3,980 Wol.
43%
16°C
$5,244 Wol.
26%
17°C
$4,255 Wol.
6%
18°C or higher
$5,967 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,301Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$42,301Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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