Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 80%
23°C 17%
24°C 5.2%
26°C <1%
$40,403 Wol.
$40,403 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
80%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 80%
23°C 17%
24°C 5.2%
26°C <1%
$40,403 Wol.
$40,403 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,596 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$7,114 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$6,421 Wol.
80%
23°C
$5,965 Wol.
17%
24°C
$3,604 Wol.
5%
25°C
$2,515 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,518 Wol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,403Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$40,403Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Spain’s AEMET indicate a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting gradual warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions align with mid-May climatological norms for central Spain, where average highs range 21–23°C, narrowing the probability distribution and explaining the dominant market-implied odds for 22°C. Minor model spread around afternoon peak temperatures accounts for the secondary weight on 23°C, while distant thresholds remain sidelined absent unusual advection or insolation shifts. Traders monitor real-time AEMET observations for any final adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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