Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 98.0%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,219 Wol.
$46,219 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
98%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.0%
23°C 1.3%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$46,219 Wol.
$46,219 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,647 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,601 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$7,256 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$8,825 Wol.
98%
23°C
$8,015 Wol.
1%
24°C
$4,287 Wol.
1%
25°C
$2,959 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,588 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,219Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$46,219Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest forecast guidance from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European models shows a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting a daytime maximum near 22°C in Madrid on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-May and explains the market’s overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 22°C. Traders are monitoring real-time observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, where afternoon readings will determine resolution. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could keep temperatures at or below 21°C, while unexpected clear conditions and enhanced solar heating remain the only realistic paths to 23°C or higher before sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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