Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 65%
23°C 30%
24°C 5.7%
25°C <1%
$38,112 Wol.
$38,112 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
65%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 65%
23°C 30%
24°C 5.7%
25°C <1%
$38,112 Wol.
$38,112 Wol.
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$2,658 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,646 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5,373 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,596 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$7,114 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$6,076 Wol.
65%
23°C
$5,391 Wol.
24%
24°C
$3,282 Wol.
6%
25°C
$2,372 Wol.
1%
26°C
$1,393 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,090 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,112Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$38,112Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and AEMET place Madrid’s maximum temperature on May 17 in a narrow 22–23 °C range under moderate westerly flow and broken cloud cover. This tight clustering explains why traders have concentrated nearly 98 % of probability on those two outcomes, with 23 °C edging ahead on slightly higher model consensus for peak afternoon insolation. Key differentiating factors include small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth and the timing of any late-day cloud build-up, both of which can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official AEMET station observations at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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