PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 Wol.
$31,524 Wol.
May 14, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 Wol.
$31,524 Wol.
May 14, 2026
28°C or below
$1,486 Wol.
No
29°C
$716 Wol.
No
30°C
$671 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,203 Wol.
No
32°C
$5,273 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,249 Wol.
No
34°C
$5,240 Wol.
Yes
35°C
$3,947 Wol.
No
36°C
$2,941 Wol.
No
37°C
$2,162 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$1,637 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,524Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$31,524Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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