Current conditions and late-spring atmospheric dynamics are anchoring trader expectations for a Miami high near the upper end of seasonal norms, with the 90–91 °F bin carrying the clearest share of implied probability. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover are moderating daytime heating while sea-breeze circulation limits extreme warmth, keeping odds for 94 °F or higher below 1 %. Model consensus from NOAA and local guidance favors afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, though any late-day clearing could push temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical climatology for mid-May shows a normal maximum of 87 °F at Miami International Airport, providing the baseline against which today’s modest positive anomaly is being assessed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 17?
90-91°F 17.7%
92-93°F <1%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
$145,649 Wol.
$145,649 Wol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 17.7%
92-93°F <1%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
$145,649 Wol.
$145,649 Wol.
May 17, 2026
75°F or below
$21,970 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$16,890 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$7,633 Wol.
18%
92-93°F
$11,227 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$5,293 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current conditions and late-spring atmospheric dynamics are anchoring trader expectations for a Miami high near the upper end of seasonal norms, with the 90–91 °F bin carrying the clearest share of implied probability. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover are moderating daytime heating while sea-breeze circulation limits extreme warmth, keeping odds for 94 °F or higher below 1 %. Model consensus from NOAA and local guidance favors afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, though any late-day clearing could push temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical climatology for mid-May shows a normal maximum of 87 °F at Miami International Airport, providing the baseline against which today’s modest positive anomaly is being assessed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$145,649Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current conditions and late-spring atmospheric dynamics are anchoring trader expectations for a Miami high near the upper end of seasonal norms, with the 90–91 °F bin carrying the clearest share of implied probability. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover are moderating daytime heating while sea-breeze circulation limits extreme warmth, keeping odds for 94 °F or higher below 1 %. Model consensus from NOAA and local guidance favors afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, though any late-day clearing could push temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical climatology for mid-May shows a normal maximum of 87 °F at Miami International Airport, providing the baseline against which today’s modest positive anomaly is being assessed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$145,649Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent conditions and late-spring atmospheric dynamics are anchoring trader expectations for a Miami high near the upper end of seasonal norms, with the 90–91 °F bin carrying the clearest share of implied probability. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover are moderating daytime heating while sea-breeze circulation limits extreme warmth, keeping odds for 94 °F or higher below 1 %. Model consensus from NOAA and local guidance favors afternoon readings in the mid-to-upper 80s, though any late-day clearing could push temperatures a degree or two higher. Historical climatology for mid-May shows a normal maximum of 87 °F at Miami International Airport, providing the baseline against which today’s modest positive anomaly is being assessed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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