European meteorological models currently project a daily maximum of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces only modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 22°C, and explains the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 21°C outcome. Traders are focusing on official observational thresholds for resolution, with any late-model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the primary variables that could shift the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,923 Wol.
$44,923 Wol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,923 Wol.
$44,923 Wol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCEuropean meteorological models currently project a daily maximum of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system over the Po Valley that limits vertical mixing and produces only modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with light northerly flow. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 22°C, and explains the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 21°C outcome. Traders are focusing on official observational thresholds for resolution, with any late-model adjustments or localized urban heat effects representing the primary variables that could shift the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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