Recent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 92%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,750 Wol.
$100,750 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
92%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 92%
17°C 8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,750 Wol.
$100,750 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$7,596 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$16,015 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$13,139 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$15,056 Wol.
92%
17°C
$14,246 Wol.
8%
18°C
$11,376 Wol.
1%
19°C
$12,886 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$5,115 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$100,750Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$100,750Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecast updates from Meteo-France and ensemble models have positioned the daily maximum temperature in Paris around 16°C, driving the strong market consensus for this outcome. Cool, unstable air masses with light winds and persistent cloud cover have limited daytime heating, keeping highs well below the seasonal average of approximately 18–19°C. Official observations through the morning confirm temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 8–10°C toward afternoon peaks in the mid-teens, with minimal model spread supporting little chance of reaching 17°C or higher. Continued monitoring of surface observations and short-range guidance will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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