Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows Paris under a lingering maritime air mass with extensive cloud cover and light west-southwest winds, limiting daytime heating and pointing to a daily maximum near 16°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 65.5 percent implied probability, as afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-teens Celsius before any brief clearing allows slight additional warming. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18°C, but persistent unstable conditions earlier this week have kept readings suppressed. Updated model runs this morning continue to favor 15–17°C as the most probable range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any late-day sun breaks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 79%
17°C 18%
18°C 3.0%
19°C <1%
$89,374 Wol.
$89,374 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
79%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 79%
17°C 18%
18°C 3.0%
19°C <1%
$89,374 Wol.
$89,374 Wol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$7,596 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$15,968 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$12,083 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$12,719 Wol.
79%
17°C
$11,343 Wol.
18%
18°C
$9,608 Wol.
3%
19°C
$11,893 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,299 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows Paris under a lingering maritime air mass with extensive cloud cover and light west-southwest winds, limiting daytime heating and pointing to a daily maximum near 16°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 65.5 percent implied probability, as afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-teens Celsius before any brief clearing allows slight additional warming. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18°C, but persistent unstable conditions earlier this week have kept readings suppressed. Updated model runs this morning continue to favor 15–17°C as the most probable range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any late-day sun breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$89,374Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows Paris under a lingering maritime air mass with extensive cloud cover and light west-southwest winds, limiting daytime heating and pointing to a daily maximum near 16°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 65.5 percent implied probability, as afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-teens Celsius before any brief clearing allows slight additional warming. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18°C, but persistent unstable conditions earlier this week have kept readings suppressed. Updated model runs this morning continue to favor 15–17°C as the most probable range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any late-day sun breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$89,374Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows Paris under a lingering maritime air mass with extensive cloud cover and light west-southwest winds, limiting daytime heating and pointing to a daily maximum near 16°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 65.5 percent implied probability, as afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the mid-teens Celsius before any brief clearing allows slight additional warming. Historical May climatology places average highs around 18°C, but persistent unstable conditions earlier this week have kept readings suppressed. Updated model runs this morning continue to favor 15–17°C as the most probable range, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any late-day sun breaks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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