National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.1%
62-63°F <1%
$20,127 Wol.
$20,127 Wol.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68°F or higher
84%
68°F or higher 84%
66-67°F 10%
64-65°F 2.1%
62-63°F <1%
$20,127 Wol.
$20,127 Wol.
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,542 Wol.
<1%
52-53°F
$555 Wol.
<1%
54-55°F
$608 Wol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 Wol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,097 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,559 Wol.
2%
66-67°F
$2,197 Wol.
10%
68°F or higher
$2,088 Wol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,127Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$20,127Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFONational Weather Service forecasts for May 17 project a daytime maximum near 70°F in San Francisco, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 68°F at San Francisco International Airport and driving the 68°F-or-higher outcome to an 87.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from a warming synoptic pattern featuring light onshore flow and minimal marine-layer influence, which typically allows temperatures to reach or exceed seasonal averages without significant suppression from coastal stratus. Real-time model consensus and recent observations reinforce this range, while lower bins such as 66–67°F hold only 10% as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current atmospheric conditions. Final resolution hinges on the official KSFO recording once the daily high is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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