Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF has converged on a 27°C daytime maximum for Shenzhen, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, keeping temperatures near the typical mid-May subtropical baseline of 26–28°C. Light winds and partial cloud cover further limit afternoon warming at the official Bao’an station. Minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C deviation, though current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 27°C anchor point.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$48,715 Wol.
$48,715 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$48,715 Wol.
$48,715 Wol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5,469 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$11,015 Wol.
100%
28°C
$5,414 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$4,813 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,279 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF has converged on a 27°C daytime maximum for Shenzhen, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, keeping temperatures near the typical mid-May subtropical baseline of 26–28°C. Light winds and partial cloud cover further limit afternoon warming at the official Bao’an station. Minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C deviation, though current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 27°C anchor point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,715Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF has converged on a 27°C daytime maximum for Shenzhen, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, keeping temperatures near the typical mid-May subtropical baseline of 26–28°C. Light winds and partial cloud cover further limit afternoon warming at the official Bao’an station. Minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C deviation, though current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 27°C anchor point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$48,715Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF has converged on a 27°C daytime maximum for Shenzhen, driving the market’s overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are moderating solar heating under a stable high-pressure ridge, keeping temperatures near the typical mid-May subtropical baseline of 26–28°C. Light winds and partial cloud cover further limit afternoon warming at the official Bao’an station. Minor shifts in shower timing or localized urban heat-island effects could still produce a 1°C deviation, though current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the 27°C anchor point.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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