Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
27°C 29%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 29%
28°C 25%
29°C 16%
26°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Wol.
1%
23°C
$100 Wol.
1%
24°C
$65 Wol.
1%
25°C
$201 Wol.
3%
26°C
$0 Wol.
14%
27°C
$0 Wol.
29%
28°C
$0 Wol.
25%
29°C
$0 Wol.
16%
30°C
$0 Wol.
11%
31°C
$0 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$133 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$377Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$377Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent ensemble forecasts from global models point to scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta as the dominant influence on Shenzhen’s May 18 maximum temperature. Subtropical monsoon flow from the South China Sea supplies abundant moisture, promoting daytime heating that can reach 27–28 °C before thundershowers develop and reduce solar insolation. Subtle differences in forecast timing of these showers, boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island amplification explain why 27 °C and 28 °C currently command the tightest market-implied odds, while clearer-sky scenarios supporting 29 °C or higher remain possible but less favored. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS will refine the convective initiation window and directly affect trader positioning ahead of the official Shenzhen Bao’an station observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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