Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 Wol.
$96,857 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 Wol.
$96,857 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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