Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,003 Wol.
$52,003 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,003 Wol.
$52,003 Wol.
May 17, 2026
13°C
$11,345 Wol.
100%
14°C
$8,443 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$8,385 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,003Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$52,003Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWACurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum of 12–13°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, establishing the strong scientific basis for the 99.7% market-implied probability on a 13°C high. This consensus reflects prevailing springtime atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating, moderate northerly flow, and typical May cloud cover that caps warming. Official resolution will hinge on verified observations at the primary station, where minor uncertainties such as brief wind shifts or reduced cloud timing could permit a short spike to 14°C, though such scenarios carry low probability given the model agreement and historical climatology for the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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