Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 18?
24°C 28.5%
25°C 28%
26°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOWE
$15,935 Wol.
NOWE
$15,935 Wol.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
13%
24°C
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
16%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 28.5%
25°C 28%
26°C 16%
27°C 14%
NOWE
$15,935 Wol.
NOWE
$15,935 Wol.
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$420 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$791 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$420 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$791 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,471 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$2,697 Wol.
13%
24°C
$3,183 Wol.
23%
25°C
$1,591 Wol.
28%
26°C
$2,142 Wol.
16%
27°C
$1,230 Wol.
14%
28°C or higher
$1,200 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,935Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,935Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHCurrent numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a daily maximum in Wuhan on May 18 most likely between 24 °C and 26 °C, driven by moderate southerly advection under a subtropical ridge that supplies warm, moist air while partial cloud cover caps peak insolation. This narrow spread produces closely matched market probabilities because small variations in simulated boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and timing of any convective initiation can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs from global and regional centers show limited disagreement, keeping lower and higher outcomes at the fringes. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next surface observations and updated short-range guidance will directly inform trader reassessment of these temperature thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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