Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, place the year on pace with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually. With six weeks remaining until June 30, this early clustering combined with typical Poisson-distributed seismicity supports trader expectations for at least two to three additional events in the period. A three-week lull since the April 20 magnitude 7.4 event off eastern Japan reflects normal variability in tectonic stress release along major faults, though ongoing USGS monitoring of active plate boundaries could still yield further large quakes before the resolution window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIle trzęsień ziemi 7,0 lub więcej do 30 czerwca?
Ile trzęsień ziemi 7,0 lub więcej do 30 czerwca?
$1,854,431 Wol.
$1,854,431 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
7
16%
8+
84%
$1,854,431 Wol.
$1,854,431 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
7
$289,143 Wol.
16%
8+
$551,702 Wol.
84%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, place the year on pace with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually. With six weeks remaining until June 30, this early clustering combined with typical Poisson-distributed seismicity supports trader expectations for at least two to three additional events in the period. A three-week lull since the April 20 magnitude 7.4 event off eastern Japan reflects normal variability in tectonic stress release along major faults, though ongoing USGS monitoring of active plate boundaries could still yield further large quakes before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,854,431Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, place the year on pace with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually. With six weeks remaining until June 30, this early clustering combined with typical Poisson-distributed seismicity supports trader expectations for at least two to three additional events in the period. A three-week lull since the April 20 magnitude 7.4 event off eastern Japan reflects normal variability in tectonic stress release along major faults, though ongoing USGS monitoring of active plate boundaries could still yield further large quakes before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Wolumen
$1,854,431Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide through mid-May 2026, concentrated along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, place the year on pace with the USGS long-term average of roughly 15–16 such events annually. With six weeks remaining until June 30, this early clustering combined with typical Poisson-distributed seismicity supports trader expectations for at least two to three additional events in the period. A three-week lull since the April 20 magnitude 7.4 event off eastern Japan reflects normal variability in tectonic stress release along major faults, though ongoing USGS monitoring of active plate boundaries could still yield further large quakes before the resolution window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania