Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows in Chengdu on September 16 clustering near 18–19°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, while the basin topography reduces cold air drainage. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, with modest probability assigned to cooler thresholds reflecting residual model spread in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
13°C or below 53%
23°C or higher 53%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
53%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
33%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
53%
13°C or below 53%
23°C or higher 53%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
53%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$39 Wol.
39%
16°C
$0 Wol.
22%
17°C
$0 Wol.
22%
18°C
$0 Wol.
33%
19°C
$0 Wol.
28%
20°C
$0 Wol.
39%
21°C
$0 Wol.
39%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows in Chengdu on September 16 clustering near 18–19°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, while the basin topography reduces cold air drainage. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, with modest probability assigned to cooler thresholds reflecting residual model spread in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$39Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows in Chengdu on September 16 clustering near 18–19°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, while the basin topography reduces cold air drainage. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, with modest probability assigned to cooler thresholds reflecting residual model spread in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to overnight lows in Chengdu on September 16 clustering near 18–19°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Light northeasterly winds and high humidity further moderate temperature drops, while the basin topography reduces cold air drainage. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C outcomes, with modest probability assigned to cooler thresholds reflecting residual model spread in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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