National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 project a daytime high well above 56°F, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly sunny conditions that promote strong solar heating across the region. Historical May normals near 70°F provide climatological context, while current model consensus shows minimal risk of lake-breeze suppression or cloud cover reducing peak readings. With the market assigning 100% implied probability to 56°F or higher, traders reflect this strong observational alignment from official guidance. Only an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as widespread fog or rapid cold-air advection late in the day could challenge the outcome, though recent guidance indicates low likelihood of such developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,682 Vol.
$32,682 Vol.
56°F or higher
100%
56°F or higher 100.0%
$32,682 Vol.
$32,682 Vol.
56°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on May 16 project a daytime high well above 56°F, driven by persistent southerly airflow and mostly sunny conditions that promote strong solar heating across the region. Historical May normals near 70°F provide climatological context, while current model consensus shows minimal risk of lake-breeze suppression or cloud cover reducing peak readings. With the market assigning 100% implied probability to 56°F or higher, traders reflect this strong observational alignment from official guidance. Only an abrupt, unforecasted shift such as widespread fog or rapid cold-air advection late in the day could challenge the outcome, though recent guidance indicates low likelihood of such developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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