Recent National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance have converged on a daily high near 58–59 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This positioning aligns with current surface observations showing stable onshore flow, limited cloud cover, and maximum temperatures consistent with late-spring climatology for the Puget Sound region. Key variables such as boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing support the narrow forecast range, with ensemble spreads remaining tight. The primary risk to this outcome would be a late-day shift in wind direction or unexpected marine-layer intrusion that caps temperatures one bin lower, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 16 de maio?
58-59°F 99.7%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66°F ou mais <1%
$89,749 Vol.
$89,749 Vol.
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou mais
<1%
58-59°F 99.7%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
66°F ou mais <1%
$89,749 Vol.
$89,749 Vol.
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance have converged on a daily high near 58–59 °F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This positioning aligns with current surface observations showing stable onshore flow, limited cloud cover, and maximum temperatures consistent with late-spring climatology for the Puget Sound region. Key variables such as boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing support the narrow forecast range, with ensemble spreads remaining tight. The primary risk to this outcome would be a late-day shift in wind direction or unexpected marine-layer intrusion that caps temperatures one bin lower, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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