Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional forecasts points to a warm spring day in Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures likely reaching the low 30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning explains the tight market split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C or higher (50.0%), as subtle differences in afternoon heating, sea breeze timing, and boundary layer moisture could tip the daily high across the 35°C threshold. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent warming trends and low precipitation have elevated baseline values, leaving room for outliers driven by high-pressure ridging. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12 hours will refine these projections ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 17 de maio?
35°C or higher 56%
34°C 36%
33°C 4.5%
29°C <1%
NOVO
$28,976 Vol.
NOVO
$28,976 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
56%
35°C or higher 56%
34°C 36%
33°C 4.5%
29°C <1%
NOVO
$28,976 Vol.
NOVO
$28,976 Vol.
17 mai 2026
25°C or below
$8,429 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,374 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,009 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,479 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,800 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,233 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,949 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,963 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,854 Vol.
36%
35°C or higher
$3,315 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional forecasts points to a warm spring day in Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures likely reaching the low 30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning explains the tight market split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C or higher (50.0%), as subtle differences in afternoon heating, sea breeze timing, and boundary layer moisture could tip the daily high across the 35°C threshold. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent warming trends and low precipitation have elevated baseline values, leaving room for outliers driven by high-pressure ridging. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12 hours will refine these projections ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$28,976Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional forecasts points to a warm spring day in Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures likely reaching the low 30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning explains the tight market split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C or higher (50.0%), as subtle differences in afternoon heating, sea breeze timing, and boundary layer moisture could tip the daily high across the 35°C threshold. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent warming trends and low precipitation have elevated baseline values, leaving room for outliers driven by high-pressure ridging. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12 hours will refine these projections ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,976Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and regional forecasts points to a warm spring day in Tel Aviv on May 17, with maximum temperatures likely reaching the low 30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light westerly winds. This positioning explains the tight market split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C or higher (50.0%), as subtle differences in afternoon heating, sea breeze timing, and boundary layer moisture could tip the daily high across the 35°C threshold. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 26–28°C, but recent warming trends and low precipitation have elevated baseline values, leaving room for outliers driven by high-pressure ridging. Updated short-range guidance over the next 12 hours will refine these projections ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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