National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently indicate an overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56°F range, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward the 54–55°F bin. This forecast reflects a stable air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the primary observing station, so any late-model shift in steering currents or unexpected clear skies could allow slightly lower readings. Updated forecasts issued before midnight will provide the final calibration for this temperature-sensitive market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 16 de maio?
54-55°F 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
43°F ou menos
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F ou mais
<1%
54-55°F 99.4%
56-57°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$15,669 Vol.
$15,669 Vol.
43°F ou menos
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently indicate an overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56°F range, driving the overwhelming trader consensus toward the 54–55°F bin. This forecast reflects a stable air mass with light winds and partial cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region. Resolution hinges on the official minimum recorded at the primary observing station, so any late-model shift in steering currents or unexpected clear skies could allow slightly lower readings. Updated forecasts issued before midnight will provide the final calibration for this temperature-sensitive market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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