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Política·Roménia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Política·Roménia

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Radu Burnete 20%

Șerban Matei 20%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Cătălin Predoiu 11%

Polymarket

$345,847 Vol.

Radu Burnete 20%

Șerban Matei 20%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Cătălin Predoiu 11%

Polymarket

$345,847 Vol.

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$1,077 Vol.

20%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$1,023 Vol.

20%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$62,419 Vol.

13%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$47,225 Vol.

11%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$49,580 Vol.

5%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$158 Vol.

4%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$11,204 Vol.

4%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$10,904 Vol.

2%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$139 Vol.

2%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$8,567 Vol.

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$6,172 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$5,311 Vol.

1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$7,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$5,689 Vol.

1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$10,337 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$8,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$5,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$7,789 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$8,875 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$7,447 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$31,061 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$9,352 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$5,425 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$6,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$5,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$7,539 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$11,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$5,071 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's ouster in a no-confidence vote on May 5—passed with 281 votes amid fallout from unpopular austerity measures and a fractured pro-EU coalition—President Nicușor Dan has begun consultations with parliamentary parties, signaling a potential nomination as early as next week. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented parliament where the largest party, Social Democrats (PSD), lacks a majority and allied temporarily with far-right AUR to topple the government, leaving coalition negotiations uncertain. Sorin Grindeanu edges ahead with PSD ties and prior premiership experience, while Cătălin Predoiu benefits from National Liberal Party (PNL) continuity and Șerban Matei gains from technocratic credentials backed by cross-party support; consolidation hinges on securing a parliamentary confidence vote amid snap election risks.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$345,847
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's ouster in a no-confidence vote on May 5—passed with 281 votes amid fallout from unpopular austerity measures and a fractured pro-EU coalition—President Nicușor Dan has begun consultations with parliamentary parties, signaling a potential nomination as early as next week. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented parliament where the largest party, Social Democrats (PSD), lacks a majority and allied temporarily with far-right AUR to topple the government, leaving coalition negotiations uncertain. Sorin Grindeanu edges ahead with PSD ties and prior premiership experience, while Cătălin Predoiu benefits from National Liberal Party (PNL) continuity and Șerban Matei gains from technocratic credentials backed by cross-party support; consolidation hinges on securing a parliamentary confidence vote amid snap election risks.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$345,847
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radu Burnete" at 20%, followed by "Șerban Matei" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $345.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Radu Burnete" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Șerban Matei" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.