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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará

Hana Ghassan 49%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 8%

Paulo Rocha 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,591 Vol.

Hana Ghassan 49%

Dr. Daniel Santos 42%

Éder Mauro 8%

Paulo Rocha 1.2%

Polymarket

$12,591 Vol.

Hana Ghassan

$4,944 Vol.

49%

Dr. Daniel Santos

$4,472 Vol.

42%

Éder Mauro

$1,015 Vol.

8%

Paulo Rocha

$592 Vol.

1%

Dirceu Ten Caten

$539 Vol.

1%

Rogério Barra

$514 Vol.

1%

Zequinha Marinho

$514 Vol.

<1%

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,591
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.

The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,591
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hana Ghassan" at 49%, followed by "Dr. Daniel Santos" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará" has generated $12.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará" is "Hana Ghassan" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dr. Daniel Santos" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Pará" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.